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Market Analysis

08/18 Korea Market Morning Briefing — Wall Street Falls on US-Iran Tensions… KOSPI Settles Above 6,900 on Foreign Buying

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Wall Street Falls on US-Iran Tensions… KOSPI Settles Above 6,900 on Foreign Buying
KOSPI 6,977.94 KOSDAQ 864.65 Foreign KOSPI +3,038.71B KRW Retail KOSPI -1,982.03B KRW Moody's Growth Forecast 3.5% US Futures ES -0.52%
On the 17th, Wall Street closed lower across all three major indices amid escalating US-Iran tensions and rising crude oil prices, with the Dow down 0.51% and the S&P 500 down 0.52%. As of August 18, US index futures continue to soften with ES=F down 0.52% (7,764.5), NQ=F down 0.25% (30,067.5), and YM=F down 0.54% (53,514.0). In contrast, the Korean market exhibited positive momentum as Moody's raised Korea's GDP growth forecast to 3.5% on the semiconductor boom, pushing KOSPI to 6,977.94 to settle firmly above the 6,900 mark. Notably, foreign investors drove the surge with 3,038.711B KRW (30,387.11 hundred million KRW) in net purchases on August 14.
KOSPI Close (8/14)
6,977.94
Rebound from 7/30 low (5,593.56)
KOSDAQ Close (8/14)
864.65
Recovery from 7/30 low (644.78)
Foreign KOSPI Net Buy (8/14)
+3,038.71B KRW
Strong shift to net buying in mid-Aug
Retail KOSPI Net Buy (8/14)
-1,982.03B KRW
Net selling contrasting with foreigners
Moody's Growth Forecast
3.5%
Chip boom expected through mid-2027
US S&P Futures (ES=F)
7,764.5
-0.52% (Oil surge impact)
01

Global Markets & US Futures Dynamics

Wall Street Closed Lower Across Major Indices
On local time 17th, the three major US stock indices closed lower across the board due to rising international oil prices amid escalating tensions between the US and Iran. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.51%, and the S&P 500 index decreased by 0.52%.

US Index Futures Soften Further (As of Aug 18, 2026)
Weakness persisted in the US futures market, with ES=F recording -0.52% (7,764.5), NQ=F at -0.25% (30,067.5), and YM=F at -0.54% (53,514.0).

Futures Instrument Price Change Rate
S&P 500 Futures (ES=F) 7,764.5 -0.52%
Nasdaq 100 Futures (NQ=F) 30,067.5 -0.25%
Dow Futures (YM=F) 53,514.0 -0.54%
02

Domestic Market & Major Index Trends

KOSPI: 6,977.94 (As of Aug 14)
Reviewing KOSPI closing prices over the past 20 sessions (Source: KRX), the index started at 6,516.27 on July 20, underwent a correction down to 5,593.56 on July 30, and subsequently staged a powerful rebound to reach 6,977.94 on August 14.

KOSDAQ: 864.65 (As of Aug 14)
The KOSDAQ index also rebounded steadily after recording a short-term low of 644.78 on July 30, closing at 864.65 on August 14. With KOSDAQ posting the world's highest return in August, returns across KOSDAQ active ETFs have also rebounded substantially.

KOSPI Index Trend (Last 20 Trading Sessions Daily Close, Source: KRX)
03

Investor Trading Dynamics

Foreign Investors Pivot to Massive Net Buying in KOSPI (Source: KRX)
According to investor net flow trends in KOSPI (10 sessions, 100M KRW basis, Source: KRX), foreign investors who engaged in heavy selling early in August shifted aggressively to net buying toward mid-month. In particular, on August 14, foreign investors net bought 30,387.11 hundred million KRW (approx. 3,038.71B KRW), while retail investors net sold 19,820.30 hundred million KRW (institutions net sold 10,298.23 hundred million KRW).

KOSDAQ Trading Flows (As of Aug 14)
On the same day (August 14) in the KOSDAQ market, retail investors net purchased 314,485,787,967 KRW, while foreign investors net sold 67,365,704,159 KRW.

KOSPI Investor Net Flows (Aug 14, 100M KRW)

Investor Category Net Flow (100M KRW)
Foreigners +30,387.11
Retail -19,820.30
Institutions -10,298.23

KOSDAQ Investor Net Flows (Aug 14, KRW)

Investor Category Net Flow (KRW)
Retail +314,485,787,967
Foreigners -67,365,704,159
KOSPI Net Flow by Investor (Last 10 Trading Sessions, 100M KRW, Source: KRX)
04

Key Economic News

Moody's Raises Korea Growth Forecast to 3.5%
Global credit rating agency Moody's unexpectedly upgraded its economic growth forecast for Korea this year to 3.5%, citing expectations that the semiconductor boom will persist at least until mid-2027.
Source: Moody's / Yonhap News
Real Estate PF Delinquency Rates Surge
Due to prolonged downturn in the construction sector, delinquency rates on real estate project financing (PF) loans across financial institutions hit 10-year highs, sustaining domestic demand concerns.
Source: Financial Sector Reports
Conglomerate New Hiring Drops Over 15% in 2 Years
New hiring by major domestic conglomerates fell by over 15% over the past two years, confirming a generational reversal with declining youth employment and rising older worker share.
Source: Maeil Business / Yonhap News
Crude Oil Prices Climb on Escalating US-Iran Tensions
Spiking international oil prices driven by heightened geopolitical friction between the US and Iran pushed the three major Wall Street indices lower and kept global futures under pressure.
Source: Global Media / Yonhap News
#Market Analysis #KOSPI #KOSDAQ #Foreign Flows #Morning Briefing

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