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Market Analysis

NCsoft (036570) In-Depth Analysis — Turnaround Verification

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NCsoft Deep-Dive Analysis036570.KQ
Operational Turnaround Verification & Valuation Re-rating
As of 2026-08-04 · Price ₩232,000 · Market Cap ₩5.0T · DART Audited CFS Data
Rating
BUY
Target Price
₩350,000 (+51%)
2026Q1 audited operating profit reached ₩113.3B (20.3% margin), validating the operational turnaround. TL Global launch + Aion 2/Lineage Classic success drove a 21.7x YoY surge in operating profit. Trading at PER 12.0x and PBR 1.41x vs Krafton (13.3x/1.47x), PEG of ~0.16 highlights top-tier sector valuation appeal.
Current Price
₩232,000
-31.4% vs 52W High
52W Range
186k ~ 338k
Lower 33% Band
RSI(14)
51
Neutral
Volume Ratio
0.41x
vs 60D Average
1Y Return
+18.4%
3M: -11.3%
Target Upside
+51%
Consensus 350K

Stock Price Chart (1-Year)

The current price of ₩232,000 represents a -31.4% pull-back from the 52-week peak (₩338,000), but sits +24.7% above the 52-week low (₩186,065). Trading volume has contracted to 0.41x of its 60-day average near the MA20 (₩232,600).

Stock Price Chart (1-Year)
Stock Price Chart (1-Year)

Earnings Turnaround: Audited DART Data

Rebounding from an operating loss of -₩109.2B in 2024 to profitability (₩16.1B) in 2025, 2026Q1 delivered an explosive recovery with ₩113.3B operating profit and 20.3% margin.

PeriodRevenueOp ProfitOp MarginNet IncomeYoY Growth
2023 (Annual) 17,798B +1,373B 7.7% 2,139B
2024 (Annual) 15,781B -1,092B -6.9% 941B -11.3%
2025 (Annual) 15,069B +161B 1.1% 3,474B -4.5%
2026 Q1 (Quarter) 5,574B +1,133B 20.3% 1,524B +54.7%
Source: DART CFS Audited Final. 2026 Q1 (rcept_no: 20260515002636). Calculation: Operating Margin = Operating Profit / Revenue.

Quarterly Earnings Trajectory

Quarterly Earnings Trajectory
Quarterly Earnings Trajectory

Institutional & Foreign Net Accumulation

Over the past 30 trading sessions, foreign investors accumulated net +96,990 shares and institutions +18,173 shares, while retail investors sold net -112,515 shares. Smart money is quietly positioning ahead of the turnaround.

30-Day Net Flow by Investor
30-Day Net Flow by Investor

30-Day Net Flow by Investor

InvestorNet Buy (Shares)Assessment
Foreigners+96,990Strong Buy
Financial Investment+18,547Buy
Institutions Total+18,173Buy
Investment Trust-11,519Mild Sell
Insurance-7,246
Retail-112,515Heavy Sell
Source: Kiwoom 30 . IP .

Technical Analysis

IndicatorValueSignal
RSI(14)51.2 (30~70 )
MA5228,600 KRW > MA5 ( )
MA20232,600 KRW ≈ MA20 ()
MA60254,625 KRW < MA60 ( )
MA120242,815 KRW < MA120 ( )
(/60)0.41x

Summary: While short-term prices bounce above MA5, medium-term moving averages (MA60/MA120) remain in a downtrend. Volume contraction indicates energy squeezing ahead of a directional catalyst (2026Q2 earnings).

Peer Valuation Comparison

CompanyMarket CapPERPBRROEOp Margin2026E Growth
NCsoft5.5T12.0x1.41x14.0%20.3%+75%
Krafton11.4T13.3x1.47x12.1%40.9%+15%
Netmarble3.1T9.0x0.54x6.4%8.1%+8%
Pearl Abyss2.4T16.4x2.43x16.9%64.6%N/A
PER/PBR 2026E ( TTM ). ROE OP 2026Q1 TTM. PER 12.8x — NCsoft PEG 0.16 .
Peer Valuation Comparison
Peer Valuation Comparison

Growth Drivers: 2026 Game Lineup

Global Live

TL (Throne and Liberty)

Amazon Games publishing into NA/EU markets; key driver behind Q1 revenue explosion.

Live Success

2

New class updates driving domestic revenue stabilization alongside Lineage franchise.

Live Success

Nostalgia reboot attracting legacy players with improved ARPU profile.

Upcoming H2

/ BnS2

H2 Upcoming H2 . 2026 Upside.

Shareholder Returns & Capital Structure

Dividend History

YearDPSDividend YieldPayout Ratio
20233,130 KRW1.30%30.0%
20241,460 KRW0.80%30.1%
20251,150 KRW0.50%6.4%
2025 (6.4%) (3,474B) → .

Capital Structure Highlights

Good

28.6%, 354% — Good. 1.26T KRW .

Shareholder Friendly

Shares — 2024.05 53.3 Shares(981B) Buy . 2026.04 8 Shares (239,000 KRW).

Zero Dilution

0, CB/BW 0 — Shares . Shares Shares Risk Point .

Governance

12.20% Shares Shares. 5%+ Shares Shares . Governance.

Investment Thesis

Strong Buy Catalyst

1. DART

2026Q1 operating profit of ₩113.3B (20.3% margin) confirmed via audited filings (21.7x YoY growth).

Strong Buy Catalyst

2.

PER 12.0x and PBR 1.41x at historical lows; PEG 0.16 highlights sector-leading growth value.

Strong Buy Catalyst

3. Buy

Foreigners 30 +9.7 Shares Buy. Buy. Retail .

Risk Point

1. TL

Monitoring NA/EU MAU sustainability into H2.

Risk Point

2.

Mobile Lineage natural decay rate requiring monitoring.

Risk Point

3.

Volume contraction requiring breakout confirmation.

Priced-In Analysis

FactorStatusNotes
2026Q1 Priced In52 Shares +25%
2026E Annual (PER 12x)
TL H2 Not Priced In/ MAU Upside
Not Priced InQ1 beat → Annual
H2 (, BnS2)Not Priced In
(2026E 3,475 KRW)Not Priced In2025 1,150 KRW 3

Positioning Strategy Recommendations

Strategy B: Aggressive (Recommended)

Buy

232,000 KRW (350,000 KRW) 34% . MA60(254,000 KRW) 1 Buy → 220,000 KRW 2 Buy. : 3-5%.

Stop-Loss Standard

Risk Point

186,000 KRW(52 Shares ) → . TL MAU .

: Shares 2026-08-01 (232,000 KRW, KOSDAQ). DART CFS Audited Final. Naver/FnGuide( , limited ). TTM. Kiwoom 30 (IP ). , .

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